dilutionrisk
ASX filingsFully diluted sharesExpiry cliffsCash runway

Know the supply before it hits.

Small caps rarely fall on bad news alone — they fall on new shares. DilutionRisk reads every ASX and NZX filing so you see how much supply is coming, and when, before it reaches the market.

Free, no sign-up. Built from public ASX and NZX filings, updated continuously.

Companies tracked
ASX names under continuous watch
Filings processed
ASX announcements ingested into structured data
New filings (24h)
Picked up in the last day
Appendix 2AAppendix 3B4C Cash FlowFully diluted sharesTreasury Stock MethodExpiry cliffsCash runwaySupply ladderPending instrumentsOptions & perf rightsAppendix 2AAppendix 3B4C Cash FlowFully diluted sharesTreasury Stock MethodExpiry cliffsCash runwaySupply ladderPending instrumentsOptions & perf rights

How it works

From raw filings to a ranked watchlist

01

We read the filings

Every Appendix 2A, 3B, and 4C hitting the ASX is ingested and parsed automatically — no manual digging through PDFs.

02

We build the supply ladder

Options, performance rights, and convertibles are stacked into one picture of how many shares can actually hit the market.

03

You see the risk first

Rank the whole watchlist by worst-case dilution, expiry cliffs, and cash runway — before the market prices it in.

What you get

The four numbers that matter for dilution

FD maxWorst-case fully dilutedAssumes all outstanding dilutive instruments convert or exercise, subject to expiry.
TSMTreasury Stock MethodNet dilution for options and warrants estimated at a given spot price.
3/6/12mExpiry cliffsSee what can convert in the next 3, 6, or 12 months — the 'when' of dilution.
4CCash runwayRunway signals derived from 4C cash flow filings when available.

Live activity

Recent dilution-risk signals

Latest 6 material updates from the last 7 days

View all

What we ingest

  • Appendix 2A — shares on issue changes
  • Appendix 3B — proposed issue of securities
  • 4C Cash Flow — runway indicators

Not financial advice

DilutionRisk is an information tool built from public filings. Always verify details in the source documents.

Numbers can change as new filings arrive, parsing improves, or you switch method/spot price.

The next dilution cliff is already in a filing.

Open the screener and see which ASX and NZX names have the most supply queued up right now.

Company deep links work too: /company/ASX/BHP